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The last 'spot' transmission was only 75 meters from the island.

and,,,, the speed hadn't changed which is almost proof positive it just ran into the island. 75 meters from the island isn't where a big ship would be.

Excerpt:

The final transmission made by the Aegean was on North Coronado Island at a point about 75 meters southwest of the northernmost tip of the island, according to Walton. He took pictures of the island from where the last three transmissions were made.

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